Odaily星球日报讯 QCP 发布市场分析,比特币本周有了一个积极的开端,价格再次接近 100,000 美元的关口,但或将面对巨大的卖盘压力,这一水平在 12 月时曾经出现过较大的抛压。比特币第一次突破这个关键水平是在 12 月 5 日,当时资金费用飙升。然而,这一次资金费用仍然保持健康水平,我们预计短期内不会出现大规模的逼空行情。与之前不同的是,考虑到特朗普的相关催化剂可能要等到他 1 月 20 日的就职典礼之后才能出现,因此此时不太可能出现类似的市场推动因素。前端波动率仍然较为温和,且整体市场情绪偏向中性。 由于近期没有加密货币特定的催化剂,市场将重点关注本周五(1 月 10 日)的美国 1 月非农就业报告。然而,关于周五非农就业报告的预期将在本周内通过 1 月 7 日的 JOLTS 职位空缺数据和 1 月 8 日的 ADP 就业数据得以进一步确认。
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