金吾财讯 | 摩根士丹利策略师表示,随着美债收益率飙升以及美元走高,美国股市未来六个月可能面临严峻考验。策略师威尔逊在报告中警告道,随着10年期美债收益率攀升至4.5%以上,标普500指数与债券收益率之间的相关性已变成“决定性的负相关”。30年期收益率周一创下2023年底以来的最高水平。
威尔逊说,美元目前正接近可能对有大量国际敞口的公司造成压力的水平,鉴于市场广度已经很差,这可能在今年上半年对股市造成更广泛的伤害。
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