智通财经APP获悉,马鞍山钢铁股份(00323)再涨超4%,截至发稿,涨3.97%,报1.57港元,成交额5767.11万港元。
民生证券发布研报称,近日,央行召开四季度例会,加大对大规模设备更新和消费品以旧换新的金融支持,加大存量商品房和存量土地盘活力度,推动房地产市场止跌回稳;国家发改委表示,今年将增加发行超长期特别国债,更大力度支持“两重”建设,加大建设力度、加强软硬结合、加快工作进度三方面加力推进。当前钢材基本面供需双弱,垒库周期开始,原料端铁矿库存较高,减产预期下,原料有望让利成材,后续关注钢企利润恢复情况。
中金指出,展望2025年钢铁行业,预期国内制造业有望维持较高景气,基建实物工作量或将边际改善,但贸易政策扰动下海外需求仍存在不确定性,且钢厂在较高的经营获现压力之下供给亦难见大幅收缩,内需的结构性改善难遏钢价下行。2024年工信部已暂停实施钢铁产能置换,2025年钢铁供给难有增量,同时政策驱动下的存量产能优化或将进一步加速,结构性机会可期。
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