【华尔街债券空头预计美国10年期国债收益率将突破5%】金十数据1月7日讯,华尔街最大的债券空头之一新年开局不错,美国国债收益率正朝着他的强烈非主流预测靠拢。荷兰国际银行美洲地区研究主管Padhraic Garvey预计,10年期美国国债收益率到2025年底将在5.5%左右,周一约为4.63%。在汇编的51个年底预测中,只有3个是预测从当前水平上升,而且ING的预测较第二悲观的预测高出约40个基点。Garvey的预测基于这样一种预期,即美联储将保持利率限制性,以抵消美国当选总统唐纳德·特朗普的关税和减税政策造成价格压力的风险,以及投资者将对联邦赤字心存担忧。
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