【刷新逾一年高位！烧碱强势上行的原因是……】金十期货1月7日讯，周一，烧碱期货集体上涨，成交明显放量。从消息面来看，1月3日，一则韩国韩华氯碱公司计划在2025年2月中旬至3月中旬期间检修105万吨氯碱装置的消息传遍市场，市场对韩国在2—3月期间的氯碱供应有所担忧。对于后市，中泰期货分析指出，后期烧碱期货上行驱动依旧较为充足，期价有望呈现上行趋势，趋势将取决于烧碱下游需求的释放时间。但方正中期期货认为，目前，烧碱期货价格已经抬升至上市初期的高位，无论从基本面还是季节性来看，市场持续上涨的驱动略显不足。市场情绪减弱后，烧碱盘面存在回落风险，期价在历史高点附近承压。业内人士称，鉴于烧碱期货升水现货过高，按照山东32%液碱价格计算，基差为-550元/吨，后市期货盘面不排除大幅调整的可能性。
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