【合成橡胶：橡胶“三兄弟”分化，BR远月未来可期】金十期货1月6日讯，山东主流价格上调至13500元/吨，基差持稳。原料端，丁二烯价格下调至10850元/吨，短期或震荡；供应端，中国高顺顺丁橡胶行业周度产能利用率小幅持稳至77%附近，同比处于高位；需求端，轮胎半钢胎维持高开工，且半钢胎强于全钢胎的结构预计将延续，整体成品库存进入累库周期，外需短期维持韧性，后市有走弱风险，11月轮胎出口环比走弱；库存端，厂家库存环比累库，同比回到中性偏高水平，贸易商库存环比累库，同比处于中性水平。中辉期货分析师吴明近认为，合成橡胶由于前期下跌比较充分，叠加上游原油价格短期企稳，br2505合约近期表现远远强于同板块的橡胶以及20号胶。后续丁二烯胶2502合约在13000大关下方积极逢回调积极低吸较为稳健；短线持续关注日线图20日线13490-13500得失，有效上破也就打开了反转向上的空间。
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