金吾财讯 | 瑞银上调了美国银行(BAC)的股票评级,从原先的中性提升至买入,并将其目标价由43美元调高至53美元。瑞银指出,美国银行是一个被市场低估的受益者,尤其是在放松监管方面。此外,该机构还认为,在巴塞尔协议III最终阶段规则‘软化’背景下,美国银行是一个未被充分认识到的受益者。
据分析,美国银行不仅将得益于更为宽松的资本规定,而且在主要金融中心中,它目前是回购自身股票最为积极的一家银行,每季度的回购金额已达35亿美元,相比之下,其他同行由于公司特定原因短期回购力度较弱。预计到2025年,美国银行的股票回购总额将达到180亿美元,约占其当前市值的5%。资本市场向上发展的潜力对美国银行来说成本更低。
市场对于2025年可能出现的“资本市场复兴”感到乐观,这也意味着美国银行将迎来更多机会。尽管美国银行的市盈率低于摩根大通或纯粹的经纪商,但瑞银预测,交易量将在一年内增长3%,投资银行业务(IB)则有望增长18%(乐观估计可达30%)。这些预期的增长可能会推动合并费用上升3.5%,这对美国银行而言是个较高的比例。无论如何,任何资本市场的正面发展都将直接促进美国银行的底线收益增长。
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