【人民币贬值预期回落叠加美联储降息预期减弱,贵金属回调】金十期货1月6日讯,沪金主力跌0.48%。沪银主力跌0.34%。本周美国劳动力数据发布且有美联储官员密集讲话,或继续打压1月美联储降息预期,支撑美元指数,对贵金属形成压制。主要关注周三的ADP就业数据及周五晚的非农数据。短期内美元指数与美债收益率偏高,对贵金属形成压制。从中长期看,无论是增加关税或提振经济,美国可能均会提高债务规模与赤字,且美国进入货币宽松阶段,世界主要国家金融周期趋于同步,或带来通胀的再次反弹,有望对冲掉美联储收紧降息的风险,具有保值属性的贵金属仍有上涨空间。
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