【在供需基本面改善前，运价走势维持偏弱】金十期货1月7日讯，近期驱动集运指数（欧线）期价持续走弱的主要原因在于现货运输需求不足，船商不断下调即期运价所致。据市场反馈，欧线舱位供应充足，货量有限，装载率下降，供需基本面双重承压，船司不得不降价揽货。以马士基报价为例，12月下旬上海-汉堡报价为2700美元/TEU和4800美元/FEU，目前将1月下旬运价调降至1900美元/TEU和3400美元/FEU，降幅高达30%。而同期集运主力2502合约跌幅接近25%，贴近现货运价变动幅度。预计在供需基本面改善前，运价走势维持偏弱，节前下降斜率或趋缓。策略上，可适当关注EC2502与EC2504之间的正向套利机会。
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