据 Decrypt 报道，比特币近期受宏观经济变化及市场情绪影响，短期内面临下行压力。尽管去年 12 月突破 10.8 万美元的历史高点，比特币目前因美元走强、波动性增加及交易员态度谨慎而回调。Asymmetric 创始人兼 CEO Joe McCann 表示，12 月 18 日美联储鹰派新闻发布会及波动指数（VIX）的显著上升等市场信号，导致短期下行概率增加。他认为，尽管短期看空，但长期依旧看涨。
此外，美元指数（DXY）的意外走强也成为关注焦点。美联储降息 25 个基点后，DXY 却突破多年阻力位，反映出全球流动性约束和避险需求的市场动态。新加坡加密交易机构 QCP Capital 在致投资者的报告中指出，尽管有利的监管叙事支持现货市场，但一月初的市场环境可能不平稳，因债务上限问题等结构性风险或将引发市场波动。分析人士认为，比特币的走势将继续与美联储政策及美元表现密切相关。短期调整为投资者提供了逢低买入机会，但市场波动性可能给投资者带来挑战。
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