智通财经APP获悉，铝业股盘中走高，截至发稿，中国铝业(02600)涨4.15%，报4.52港元；中国宏桥(01378)涨2.92%，报11.82港元。
消息面上，近日，美国银行全球研究团队发表研报表示，尽管供应正在逐步恢复，但行业铝土矿供应紧张问题不会在不久的将来完全解决，氧化铝供应可能会一直紧张到2025年第一季度。尽管中国2025年将有1230万吨新的氧化铝产能投入运营，但估计只有600万吨铝土矿资源得到保障，这意味着其余产能在开工时可能面临障碍。因此，铝土矿可能成为明年氧化铝的成本支撑。
中信证券发布研报指出，供需格局缓和叠加事件催化推动氧化铝价格显著走弱。展望2025年，氧化铝价格中枢料将下行；供给约束强化叠加需求改善预期，铝价弹性仍然可期。看好吨铝利润拉阔以及分红和估值逻辑驱动下的铝板块投资价值。
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