智通财经APP获悉，中国神华(01088)午后跌近3%，截至发稿，跌2.23%，报30.75港元，成交额7.4亿港元。
消息面上，高盛将中国神华A股评级下调至“卖出”，目标价33元人民币。此外，美银证券发布研报称，今年看淡煤炭行业及中国神华，因预计煤炭需求增长有限，且库存处于历史高位，并需面对持续的进口威胁。该行预计，今年的燃料煤价格为每吨720元人民币(同比跌16%)，现货价格在第二季度至第三季度将低于合同价格，而焦煤价格为每吨1400元人民币。
信达证券认为，在能源产能周期背景下，无论油、电、钢等原料端成本还是人工、税费等，叠加条件相对简单的易开发矿井趋少，海内外煤炭开采成本增长态势难以根本逆转，即成本端难以持续大幅压降。此外，在煤炭矿权出让成本明显增长的背景下，亦有必要进一步提高煤价中枢，改善煤企盈利预期并增强资本开支意愿，推动提高煤矿建设投资的积极性。煤炭仍处价值重估之路，或跃在渊。
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