金吾财讯 | 德意志银行发研报指，铁矿石价格在新年伊始有所下降，含铁量62%的铁矿石价格降至每吨98-100美元区间，较之前下降5美元；煤炭价格则上升7美元，达到每吨200-210美元区间；美国1月废钢价格每吨下降3美元至315-330美元区间，欧洲1月废钢价格每吨上升6美元至310-325美元区间。在钢材价格方面，欧洲市场表现疲软，上周北欧热轧卷板(HRC)价格降至每吨580-590美元，南欧降至每吨550-560美元，不过以欧元计价相对稳定。德国HRC与关键原材料成本的BOF价差降至每吨57美元，远低于周期中期水平。美国HRC价格稳定在每吨725-740美元，其BOF价差与关键原材料成本为每吨215美元，较上周上升4美元；美国中厚板价格维持在每吨900-910美元。中国国内螺纹钢价格上涨至每吨3567元，较上周平均上涨34元；HRC价格为每吨3441元，较上周平均下降36元。过去三个月，螺纹钢价格累计下降234元，HRC价格累计上涨345元；中国HRC出口价格稳定在每吨485-495美元，考虑运输成本和关税后，美国平价价格约为每吨760-780美元。德意志银行认为行业面临的主要风险包括全球经济增长未达预期或超出预期、钢材价格波动、原材料及运营成本变动、政府对钢铁贸易的政治影响、项目扩张进度以及并购估值和整合风险等。
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