40% Increase to 2024 High Looks Doubtful for HBAR: Here’s Why

BE[IN]CRYPTO
11 Jan
  • Persistent CMF below zero and a declining RSI signal weak momentum and growing investor hesitation for HBAR.
  • Consolidation between $0.25-$0.33 keeps Hedera stagnant, amplifying uncertainty and limiting bullish opportunities.
  • Breaching $0.25 could lead to $0.18, while a market shift may fuel a 40% rally to $0.39 by breaking $0.33 resistance.

Hedera (HBAR) has struggled to gain momentum in recent weeks, reflecting a lack of direction amid a highly uncertain cryptocurrency market. This indecision has left investors cautious, making it difficult for them to take a definitive stance on the altcoin’s potential. 

The price of HBAR has remained range-bound, further amplifying the ambiguity surrounding its short-term prospects.

HBAR Investors Are Not Sure

Hedera’s market sentiment, as indicated by the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), remains subdued. Over the past two weeks, the CMF has persistently lingered below the zero line, signaling that capital outflows continue to exceed inflows. This trend highlights an ongoing hesitation among investors, who appear unwilling to inject significant liquidity into the asset amid its lackluster performance.

The sustained bearish CMF reading highlights a broader concern about the altcoin’s inability to generate bullish momentum. This hesitance among market participants has kept HBAR trapped in a consolidation phase, preventing any decisive movement that could restore investor confidence in the near term.

HBAR MACD. Source: TradingView

HBAR’s broader momentum reflects an intensifying bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), a key technical indicator, has been steadily declining over the past month. This downward slope suggests that selling pressure is mounting, further weakening the altcoin’s position.

The RSI’s movement below the neutral line of 50.0 is particularly concerning, as it confirms the dominance of bearish sentiment. Unless this trend reverses, Hedera could face additional challenges, potentially exacerbating the uncertainty that currently overshadows its price action.

HBAR RSI. Source: TradingView

HBAR Price Prediction: Breaking Out of Consolidation

Hedera’s price has been consolidating between $0.33 and $0.25 for the past month, with little indication of breaking out. This prolonged stagnation has contributed to growing investor uncertainty. The lack of volatility makes it difficult to predict the altcoin’s next move.

If current indicators persist, HBAR risks losing its $0.25 support level. A breach of this critical threshold could push the price down to $0.18. This would further validate the bearish momentum seen in recent weeks.

HBAR Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, a shift in market sentiment could offer a more optimistic scenario. Should broader crypto market trends turn bullish, HBAR may break above its $0.33 resistance level. In such a case, the altcoin could aim for $0.39, marking a 40% rally. This would push HBAR to the 2024 high and effectively invalidate the bearish outlook.

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