【机构:就业数据看起来并没有那么火热】金十数据1月11日讯,LPL Financial分析师Jeffrey Roach表示,2024年美国私人部门平均每月新增就业14.9万人,低于2023年的19.2万人,预计2025年将再次下降。12月非农就业人数激增25.6万人,失业率小幅下降(背景是可能出现大规模驱逐非法移民),这引发了人们对美联储甚至可能需要加息的担忧。但数据背后可能更为乐观。Roach称:“超过16%的非劳动力是在外国出生的,其中包括无证移民,因此收紧移民政策对经济的影响可能不像一些人所说的那样有害。”“与此同时,美联储将保持利率不变。”
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