荷兰国际:欧元低估或使其在强劲非农就业数据下更具韧性

金吾财讯
10 Jan

金吾财讯 | 荷兰国际银行在报告中指出,欧元目前处于低估状态,这暗示着若美国公布的非农就业数据表现强劲,欧元相对其他G10货币的下跌幅度可能会更小。由于外汇市场与短期利率动态的分化加剧,欧元的低估程度进一步加深。

该行表示,回顾去年11月,当欧元兑美元EUR/USD两年期掉期利差最后一次降至当前的-175个基点时,欧元兑美元的汇率在1.05左右,而如今则在1.0305上下徘徊,这反映出市场正在充分消化诸多对欧元不利的因素。因此,一旦就业数据强劲,欧元所遭受的冲击有望小于其他货币。

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