中银国际发表报告指,由于动力煤价格未能出现有意义的上涨,去年中国煤炭行业表现逊于市场。展望今年,该行预计中国煤炭需求将按年下降0.7%,因为几乎所有主要下游行业的需求均下降。
该行指,随着供应更加充裕,预计今年平均标杆动力煤现货价和标杆焦煤价格将分别按年下降5%和12%。该行将行业评级从“增持”下调至“中立”,因为能够提供有吸引力的股息收益率的公司并不多。但仍然看好兖矿能源(01171.HK) 及神华(01088.HK) 。该行对中资煤炭股目标价详见另表。(ha/w)(港股报价延迟最少十五分钟。沽空资料截至 2025-01-13 16:25。)
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