金吾财讯 | 国际油价抬升带动石油股逆市上行，中海油(00883)涨2.34%，中海油田服务(02883)涨2.31%，中石油(00857)涨1.48%。布伦特期油暂升1.66%，报80.49美元/桶，纽约期油暂升1.68%，报77.097美元/桶。中信证券表示，新年以来油市等大宗商品市场行情亮丽，主要是在冬季用能高峰期背景下美国宏观经济数据阶段性超预期，叠加交易面地缘冲突等因素的扰动造成的。该行认为，特朗普就职前后地缘的扰动或难结束，油价整体呈现“易涨难跌、脉冲式发酵、波动增大、多次反复”的特点，布伦特原油中枢或位于75美元/桶左右。海外经济与通胀扰动下，下半年中枢或逐渐抬升，全年整体易涨难跌，中枢或位于75-80美元/桶。
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