Odaily星球日报讯 随着本周 CPI 和 PPI 数据的陆续公布,经济学家们现在可以非常准确地预测 12 月份至关重要的核心 PCE 通胀数据——美联储首选的通胀指标。今早不断传来的预测表明,12 月份核心 PCE 价格涨幅将低于 0.2%:早期的预测从摩根士丹利的 0.16%到万神殿宏观的 0.19%不等。这些数字都将使核心 PCE 通胀年率保持在 2.8%,与 11 月份持平。但 3 个月和 6 个月的趋势将朝着正确的方向发展。万神殿宏观经济的分析师 Sam Tombs 表示:“我们仍然认为,核心 PCE 通胀将在未来两个月小幅下降,这为 FOMC 在 3 月底的会议上放松政策提供了支持。”(金十)
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