港股异动 | 黄金股盘中重挫 降息预期渐弱 高盛指美元未来有进一步走强风险

智通财经
15 Jan

智通财经APP获悉,黄金股盘中重挫,截至发稿,紫金矿业(02899)跌5.85%,报14.48港元;山东黄金(01787)跌3.51%,报13.74港元;中国黄金国际(02099)跌2.14%,报43.45港元;灵宝黄金(03330)跌2.04%,报3.85港元。

消息面上,2025年的第一个非农数据后,美元持续强势,截至1月13日,美元指数一度突破110整数关口,创下逾两年新高。高盛预计,随着新关税的实施和美国经济的持续强劲表现,美元将在未来一年上涨约5%,未来有进一步走强的风险。需要注意的是,这是高盛在大约两个月内第二次上调其对美元的预测。由于美国经济持续增长,以及特朗普计划征收关税可能加剧通胀,市场对于美联储继续降息的信心近期已经越来越弱。

业内人士分析,目前通胀预期的变化对黄金价格影响较大,若美国通胀预期继续上升或维持高位,可能支撑黄金价格。特朗普上台后的美国优先政策在2025Q1升温,市场预期美国经济表现更好、美元变强,且他可能压制通胀,使得通胀预期回升不持续,这对黄金不利。

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