金吾财讯 | 长江证券发布研报指,滔搏(06110)发布FY2025Q3(9-11月)零售数据,Q3流水同比中单位数下滑,环比改善显著(Q2低双下滑)。Q3延续去库,折扣仍同比加深,但预计去库表现符合公司预期,财年底库存有望迎来显著改善。
该行指,2025财年公司业绩&估值处于底部,当前FY2025股息率~8%具备绝对收益价值。Q3零售表现趋势向好,库存调整符合公司预期,明年库存改善后轻装上阵,毛利率恢复及强控费能力下,预计业绩&估值具备高弹性。此外Nike重视经销商关系,产品&渠道优化,发力大中华区,明年零售改善可期。
该行预测,FY2025-FY2027年归母净利润为13.9/16.6/18.8亿元,对应估值为12/10/9X,FY2025/2026股息率~8%/10%,高股息弹性标的,维持“买入”评级。
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