内银股多数上行 招商银行(03968)涨超3% 机构预计上半年银行股仍有确定较强的回报行情

金吾财讯
15 Jan

金吾财讯 | 内银股多数上行,招商银行(03968)涨3.01%,哈尔滨银行(06138)涨1.52%,九台农商银行(06122)涨1.45%,中国银行(03988)涨1.32%,重庆银行(01963)涨1.22%。

中信证券研报称,从央行最新表态来看,央行在金融支持经济高质量发展政策表述上定调积极,但当前增量货币政策出台仍有待央行根据国内经济运行态势、汇率走势和债市走势等相机抉择,当前央行对银行经营稳健性和息差压力高度重视,银行资产负债定价平衡或为后续相关政策的重要考量之一。2025年年初至今银行股表现平稳,好于红利板块,核心原因在于银行股基本面对应的正股仍有确定性较强的价值空间。在重估银行信用风险资产背景下,中信证券假设的条件是经济不会步入极度悲观情景,“好于交易估值隐含预期”的现实继续演绎,叠加保险、被动、主动等机构配置行为的积极影响,因此预计2025年上半年银行股仍有确定较强的回报行情。

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