If we're looking to avoid a business that is in decline, what are the trends that can warn us ahead of time? Typically, we'll see the trend of both return on capital employed (ROCE) declining and this usually coincides with a decreasing amount of capital employed. This indicates the company is producing less profit from its investments and its total assets are decreasing. So after we looked into Entravision Communications (NYSE:EVC), the trends above didn't look too great.
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Entravision Communications:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.025 = US$12m ÷ (US$557m - US$72m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
Therefore, Entravision Communications has an ROCE of 2.5%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Media industry average of 9.6%.
Check out our latest analysis for Entravision Communications
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Entravision Communications' ROCE against it's prior returns. If you want to delve into the historical earnings , check out these free graphs detailing revenue and cash flow performance of Entravision Communications.
In terms of Entravision Communications' historical ROCE trend, it isn't fantastic. To be more specific, today's ROCE was 5.7% five years ago but has since fallen to 2.5%. What's equally concerning is that the amount of capital deployed in the business has shrunk by 23% over that same period. When you see both ROCE and capital employed diminishing, it can often be a sign of a mature and shrinking business that might be in structural decline. Typically businesses that exhibit these characteristics aren't the ones that tend to multiply over the long term, because statistically speaking, they've already gone through the growth phase of their life cycle.
In short, lower returns and decreasing amounts capital employed in the business doesn't fill us with confidence. But investors must be expecting an improvement of sorts because over the last five yearsthe stock has delivered a respectable 42% return. In any case, the current underlying trends don't bode well for long term performance so unless they reverse, we'd start looking elsewhere.
Entravision Communications does have some risks, we noticed 2 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.
While Entravision Communications isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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