【券商聚焦】交银国际升网易(09999)目标价9.7% 料端游将在未来几个季度持续加速增长

金吾财讯
20 Jan

金吾财讯 | 交银国际发研报指,预计网易(09999)2024年4季度收入同比增2%,调整后净利润同比增15%,分别较该行此前预期上调3%/10%,反映端游表现好于预期以及汇兑损益收益,该行的预测较VA一致预测高3%/5%。预计4季度游戏收入同比增8%,其中端游增36%,较3季度的29%进一步加速,预计手游收入同比持平,对比3季度10%的同比下降表现持稳。该行预计2025年游戏收入同比增10%,其中端游有望在《漫威争锋》等新游带动下收入增30%+,其中该行预计《漫威争锋》、《燕云十六声》对2025年端游收入贡献达到16%/4%,预计手游保持稳定。基于近期新游表现好于预期,该行分别上调公司2025年收入/利润1%/3%,预计网易端游将在未来几个季度持续加速增长,手游持稳,推动全年游戏收入双位数增长。基于2025年17倍市盈率(预计2025年调整后运营利润增速17%),目标价从113美元/176港元上调至124美元/193港元,维持买入。

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