智通财经APP获悉，摩根士丹利发布研究报告称，中国铝业(02600)2024年第4季初步净利润符合预期。盈利表现较佳主要受惠于氧化铝价格于第4季大幅上涨，由于市场供应紧张，氧化铝价格较去年同期上升75%，以及第4季初铝业盈利仍具弹性。暂维持目标价5.5港元及“增持”评级。
报告中称，由于市场供应增加，氧化铝价格于2025年年初开始回落。随着今年国内及海外市场新增计划产能的产量贡献，氧化铝价格可能进一步下跌。然而，鉴于增量供应有限及需求仍然稳健，尤其是预期国内市场将进一步刺激，大摩预计铝价将保持在相对较高水平，同时相信中国铝业的盈利能力将转移回铝方面，为其稳健盈利提供支持。
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