金吾财讯 | 国泰君安发研报指，中国国航(00753)预告2024年大幅减亏，估算全年扣汇扭亏，符合预期。2025年机队周转继续恢复，助力收入增长与成本摊薄。未来盈利中枢上升乐观可期。该行表示，国航坚定推进稳价策略，24Q4客座率较2019年基本持平，估算票价同比降幅应好于行业。根据观察，行业收益管理策略自2024年12月初现积极改变，2025年票价修复已是业界共识，将助力盈利能力恢复与未来盈利中枢上升。2025年供需恢复趋势确定，考虑票价市场化与机队增速放缓，公司高品质航网与客源将逐步展现超预期盈利中枢上行与持续。维持“增持”评级。
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