华侨银行:预期香港今年楼价跌幅在0至3% 但有机会见底

智通财经网
21 Jan

华侨银行公布2025年经济展望,华侨银行香港经济师姜静表示,该行预期未来数季港元利率将逐步走低,港元利率可能在下行趋势中落后于美元利率,料3个月香港银行同业拆息(HIBORs)可能在2025年中跌至3.60-3.80%区域,预期今年第一季香港最优惠利率将会下调25个基点。

对于美国减息,她表示,该行的基本预测为,2025年第一季、第二季和第三季联邦基金利率各下调25个基点,2025年合共下调75个基点,在2025年底将达3.5-3.75%,但预期可能在本月或会暂停减息。

香港楼市方面,她指出,面对高利率环境、经济复苏乏力及房屋供应增加,住宅物业市场于2024年持续整固,预期今年楼价跌幅由0至3%,但今年楼价有机会见底,预期在第一季会录得降幅,其后走势将会回稳。

海量资讯、精准解读,尽在新浪财经APP

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Most Discussed

  1. 1
     
     
     
     
  2. 2
     
     
     
     
  3. 3
     
     
     
     
  4. 4
     
     
     
     
  5. 5
     
     
     
     
  6. 6
     
     
     
     
  7. 7
     
     
     
     
  8. 8
     
     
     
     
  9. 9
     
     
     
     
  10. 10