金吾财讯 | 中广核矿业(01164)早盘股价逆市走高,截至发稿,报1.86港元,涨5.08%,成交额1.05亿港元。消息面上, 摩根士丹利发布策略报告,预计中广核矿业的股价将在15天内有约六至七成机会上涨。该行指,全球最大的铀生产商哈萨克国家原子能公司(KazAtomProm)的产量指引目标有下调风险,而过往该公司下调指引,均对铀矿价格和中广核矿业有明显的影响。中银国际表示,转化铀及浓缩铀成本自2022年以来急升,情况在美俄去年5月及11月分别制裁对方浓缩铀而加剧。为部分地抵销俄罗斯供应,估计将产生2240吨额外铀需求。此外,美国公用事业因为去年合约预订不足,以及明年及以后因子据中心强劲电力需求导致的高于预期需求,今年或需补库存。在美国新政府厘清进口关税后,有关因素将提振铀价至超越2007年高峰。基于新的铀价及定价程序假设,并上调对该股目标价,由2.1港元升至2.4港元,相当于预测2026年市盈率10倍,评级“买入”。该行重申中广核矿业为今年行业首选股。
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