港股异动 | 航空股多数上扬 春运供需预期乐观 有望展现超预期盈利弹性

智通财经
21 Jan

智通财经APP获悉,航空股多数上扬,截至发稿,北京首都机场(00694)涨3.23%,报2.88港元;南方航空(01055)涨3.05%,报4.05港元;中国国航(00753)涨2.59%,报5.14港元;东方航空(00670)涨1.89%,报2.7港元。

消息面上,小摩发布研报指出,全球航空业表现自去年9月开始超出预期。由于面对成本压力、收益率正常化、疫后挑战的担忧,航空业最初面临投资者的怀疑。不过由于全球客运及航空货运服务需要旺盛,推动航空供应趋紧,航空公司成功将重心转移并充分利用高收益,主要受惠于战略运力管理、专注于优质服务、迅速适应不断变化的市场能力。

国泰君安认为,中国航空业具盈利中枢上升的超预期长逻辑,2025年供需恢复趋势确定,考虑票价市场化与机队增速显着放缓,预计将开启盈利中枢上行。预计2025年春运需求旺盛且国内增班有限,业界供需预期乐观,叠加油价压力改善,有望展现超预期盈利弹性,催化乐观预期。市场对航空长逻辑预期仍处低位,分歧越大空间越大。

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