Why SFIX Might Be Your Next Value Pick: Closer Look at Its Potential

Zacks
23 Jan

Stitch Fix, Inc. SFIX stands out as a compelling value play within the Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry, trading at a forward 12-month price-to-sales ratio of 0.57, below the industry average of 1.78 and the Retail and Wholesale average of 1.55. This undervaluation highlights its potential for investors seeking attractive entry points. SFIX's Value Score of A emphasizes its investment appeal.

SFIX Looks Attractive From a Valuation Standpoint


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Shares of the company are currently trading 25.6% below its 52-week high of $6.99 reached on Dec. 11, 2024, making investors contemplate their next moves. In the past three months, the SFIX stock has surged 80.6%, outperforming the industry’s 18.8% growth. The company’s operational efficiency and strategic initiatives have supported it in outperforming the sector and the S&P 500 index’s respective growth of 9.2% and 4.4% in the same period.

SFIX Stock Past Three-Month Performance


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Stitch Fix has demonstrated strong upward momentum, trading above its 50 and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs). SFIX ended yesterday’s trading session at $5.20, above its 50 and 200-day SMAs of $4.37 and $3.53, respectively, highlighting a continued uptrend. This technical strength, combined with consistent momentum, indicates positive market sentiment and investor confidence in the company’s financial stability and growth potential.

SFIX Trades Above 50 & 200-Day Moving Averages


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Stitch Fix’s Innovations Boost Customer Engagement

SFIX’s innovative, client-focused strategies have significantly boosted customer engagement and retention. In the first quarter of fiscal 2025, revenues per active client increased 4.9% year over year to $531. Key developments include the updated Fix model, which now allows clients to receive up to eight items instead of the traditional five.

This enhancement has driven a 40% increase in the average number of items per Fix and a 50% rise in average order value, highlighting the company’s success in leveraging personalization to strengthen customer relationships and increase revenues.

Stitch Fix’s advanced AI tools play a pivotal role in optimizing inventory and delivering personalized marketing. These innovations contributed to 6% year-over-year growth in average unit retail in the fiscal first quarter by aligning inventory with customer preferences. The AI-driven improvements have also bolstered client retention, average order values and promotional efficiency, demonstrating the technological edge of the company’s approach.



SFIX’s Operational Excellence & Cost Management Drive Growth

Operational efficiency is a key driver of Stitch Fix’s success, reflected in robust margin expansion and cost-optimization initiatives. In the fiscal first quarter, adjusted EBITDA rose to $13.5 million from $8.6 million in the prior year, with a 180-basis-point margin expansion to 4.2%.

The gross margin improved by the same margin to 45.4%, thanks to optimized transportation and product costs. We anticipate the gross margin to expand 50 basis points year over year to 44.8% in fiscal 2025.

Cost-reduction measures have yielded significant results, including a 23% year over year decrease in warehouse costs per order and a 21% drop in styling costs per Fix. Net inventory levels were reduced by 26%, lowering holding costs and markdown risks. Selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses declined 18.1% year over year, reducing SG&A as a percentage of net revenues by 330 basis points to 48.2%.

We estimate SG&A expenses to decline 17.5% year over year, and as a percentage of net revenues, this metric is expected to leverage 330 basis points year over year in fiscal 2025.





Stitch Fix’s Diverse Product Strategy & Targeted Marketing

SFIX’s balanced strategy of offering both private labels and national brands has enhanced its product appeal. Private labels such as The Commons and Montgomery Post cater to niche customer segments while delivering higher margins. Meanwhile, partnerships with popular national brands like Vuori and Vineyard Vines have broadened the product range in key categories, ensuring the brand meets diverse consumer needs.

The company’s "Retail Therapy" marketing campaign has driven increased brand awareness, especially among women, achieving the highest recognition levels in two years. Targeted advertising across TV and digital channels has reduced customer acquisition costs while improving conversion rates. Effective promotions contributed to better-than-expected results during the holiday season, reinforcing customer loyalty and driving sustained growth.

Conclusion

Investors may find SFIX attractive due to its undervaluation, innovative client-focused strategies and operational efficiency. The company leverages advanced AI to personalize experiences, boost customer retention and optimize inventory, driving revenue growth.

Cost-management initiatives and margin expansion highlight its financial strength. With a diverse product mix of private labels and national brands, along with effective marketing campaigns, SFIX demonstrates strong growth potential and market appeal. The company currently has a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).

Other Key Picks

Some other top-ranked stocks are Abercrombie & Fitch Co. ANF, Deckers Outdoor Corporation DECK and The Gap, Inc. GAP.

Abercrombie is a specialty retailer of premium, high-quality casual apparel. It currently sports a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ANF’s fiscal 2025 earnings and sales indicates growth of 69.3% and 15.1%, respectively, from the fiscal 2024 reported levels. ANF delivered a trailing four-quarter average earnings surprise of 14.8%.

Deckers is a leading designer, producer and brand manager of innovative, niche footwear and accessories. It flaunts a Zacks Rank of 1 at present.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for DECK’s fiscal 2024 earnings and sales suggests growth of 14.4% and 14.1%, respectively, from the year-ago actuals. DECK delivered a trailing four-quarter average earnings surprise of 41.1%.

Gap is a premier international specialty retailer offering a diverse range of clothing, accessories and personal care products. It presently has a Zacks Rank #2. 

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Gap’s fiscal 2025 earnings and sales implies growth of 41.3% and 0.8%, respectively, from the fiscal 2024 reported figures. GAP delivered a trailing four-quarter average earnings surprise of 101.2%.











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