【穆迪分析：特朗普的关税将在2025年底前达到峰值】金十数据1月22日讯，穆迪分析预计，特朗普政府征收的全球关税将在2025年底达到顶峰。其亚太区首席经济学家Steve Cochrane表示，到今年年底，世界其他地区（不包括中国）的有效关税总水平将达到10%。到2026年底，除中国外的全球关税将恢复到关税前的水平，平均进口关税税率为2.0%。我们预计到2025年底会出现峰值的原因是，实施这些关税并开始从中获取收入需要时间。他还强调，在2018年开始的特朗普政府期间，关税战并没有持续很长时间。到2019年，美国经济开始感受到更高关税的影响。特朗普政府后来也降低了一些关税。
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