【券商聚焦】中泰国际维持荣昌生物(09995)“买入”评级 指2024年销售收入将超预期

金吾财讯
23 Jan

金吾财讯 | 中泰国际发研报指,荣昌生物(09995)公布2024年盈利预告,预计2024年销售收入将同比增加近六成至约17.15亿元(人民币,下同),股东净亏损将较去年同期缩小约4,100万元至约14.7亿元。公司主要产品泰它西普在红斑狼疮等适应症上销售收入大幅增加,导致收入超预期。公司四季度加大销售推广投入,导致股东净亏损多于预期,但是仍将成功实现同比减亏。公司近日表示,主要产品泰它西普与维迪西妥单抗的新适应症上市审批及研发进展顺利,新产品的研发也如期推进。公司预计泰它西普的第三项适应症重症肌无力(MG)与维迪西妥单抗的肝转移晚期乳腺癌适应症2025年有望获批。此外,年内还有望提交泰它西普治疗IgA肾病(IgAN)和原发性干燥综合征(pSS)、RC28治疗糖尿病黄斑水肿(DME)、维迪西妥单抗一线治疗尿路上皮癌及HER2低表达乳腺癌适应症的上市申请,进度符合预期。考虑到公司2024年销售收入将超预期,该行将2024-26E收入预测分别上调6.1%、2.6%、1.1%。按照四季度情况,该行上调销售费用率预测,并将2024-26E股东净亏损预测分别上调5.9%、3.9%、1.3%,但股东净亏损仍将逐年缩小。综合以上情况,该行调整DCF模型并将目标价从21.80港元调整至19.00港元,维持“买入”评级。

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