金吾财讯 | 国海证券发文指出，短期来看，铝加工企业基本进入春节假期，铝锭及铝棒库存季节性累积，对铝价有一定压制，后续需关注节后的复工节奏和需求情况。氧化铝方面，随着铝土矿进口恢复和氧化铝产能投放，氧化铝供需逐步走向宽松，价格进入下跌通道，考虑长期氧化铝产能增长，远期价格回落预期强。该行表示，若未来铝价随着需求季节性恢复而上涨，以及氧化铝价格逐步回归合理，电解铝环节盈利或将持续修复，板块有望迎来反转机会。长期来看，铝行业长期供给增量有限，而需求仍有增长点，行业或将维持高景气。
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