高盛发布研报称,维持长飞光纤光缆(06869)“中性”评级,目标价9.8港元。报告指出,近日,长飞光纤光缆H股在过去两天上涨46%,上涨的正面反应来自与AI相关主题,如用于CPO(共封装光学元件)的光纤,以及用于AI丛集和资料中心的低延迟光纤电缆网路的空芯光纤。尽管这些趋势对于一般光纤光缆制造商是正面消息,但公司仍未收到任何来自CPO或中空纤维(HCF)客户的重要订单,现有的电信光缆业务也没有显著的变化。
此外,尽管高盛预计相关光纤材料2024-2025年需求前景疲软,但长飞光纤光缆H股目前的交易价格接近历史最低估值。该行认为,这反映了疲软增长前景的风险,因此预计目前股价下行空间有限,但鉴于2024-2025年需求缺乏可见性,股价上行空间也受到限制。
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