智通财经APP获悉,瑞银发布研报称,予恒隆地产(00101)“中性”评级,目标价由7港元下调至6.1港元。报告称,恒隆地产公布2024财年核心盈利31亿港元,同比下跌25%,低于预期,主要因为发展项目计提38.4亿港元减值;若除去该因素,基础利润达35亿港元,大致符合预期。此外,与中期股息相同,公司将末期股息削减33%至每股0.4港元,全年股息合计每股0.52港元。
报告指出,恒隆地产管理层于业绩会上表示,整体租户销售跌幅已于2024年第四季收窄,且2025年1月迄今销售额呈正增长。公司预期2025年中国内地租户销售将温和上升,并指引净负债率将于2026年后下降,而以股代息安排或于2026年杭州项目完工后终止。
恒隆地产表示,2024年第四季中国内地整体租户销售跌10%,按季改善8%。其中,第四季上海奢侈品商场销售下跌14%,较第二季至第三季分别下跌22及24%,跌幅有所改善。上海以外奢侈品商场第四季销售下跌10%。
此外,在重点项目中,瑞银认为武汉恒隆广场面临最激烈竞争,2024财年租户销售跌幅加速至22%,整体租用率仅85%。管理层透露杭州西湖66将于2026年上半年开业,预租率达71%;写字楼部分将自2025年第二季分阶段启用,目前预租率37%。
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