Why ASML Stock Jumped Today

Motley Fool
29 Jan
  • ASML beat top- and bottom-line consensus estimates in the fourth quarter.
  • Its leadership said artificial intelligence is driving the company forward.
  • ASML's CEO believes cheaper AI models could spur more growth.

Shares of the semiconductor equipment company ASML (ASML 3.98%) popped today after the company released its fourth-quarter results (ending Dec. 31) that outpaced Wall Street's expectations. ASML's revenue and earnings were both ahead of analysts' consensus estimates, and the company's CEO said today that cheaper AI models could propel the company ahead even further.

ASML's shares rose by more than 7% today and were up by 4.1% as of 11:03 a.m. ET.

A better-than-expected quarter

ASML reported fourth-quarter earnings of 6.85 euros per share ($7.14) ahead of analysts' average estimate of 6.72 euros ($7). The company also beat revenue expectations, reporting 9.3 billion euros ($9.7 billion), compared to Wall Street's average estimate of 9.1 billion euros ($9.5 billion).

ASML's semiconductor equipment business is benefiting from an increase in spending by companies building artificial intelligence infrastructure. ASML CEO Christophe Fouquet highlighted this in a press release, saying: "Consistent with our view from the last quarter, the growth in artificial intelligence is the key driver for growth in our industry. It has created a shift in the market dynamics that is not benefiting all of our customers equally, which creates both opportunities and risks as reflected in our 2025 revenue range."

The company expects 2025 sales to be 32.5 billion euros ($33.8 billion) at the midpoint of guidance, which represents a nearly 15% increase from 2024's revenue.

Cheaper AI chips could be good for ASML

In addition to ASML's strong quarterly results, comments made by Fouquet were likely contributing to the stock's gains this morning. After being asked about the impact on ASML from AI start-up DeepSeek, which recently revealed it had developed an advanced AI model with far fewer chips and using less money than its competitors, Fouquet noted that lower-cost AI could be a good thing for his company.

"I don't know exactly what DeepSeek can or cannot do, but I say again, anything that will drive costs down is good news for ASML on the long term," Fouquet said.

ASML's stock tumbled along with other AI stocks earlier this week as some investors worried that artificial intelligence companies may be spending too much money on developing AI models.

But ASML's latest quarterly results show that the company is benefiting from increased AI processor demand and Fouquet's comments should reassure investors that even if cheaper AI models become the norm, his company is still well-positioned to benefit.

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