CALB Group Co., Ltd. (HKG:3931), is not the largest company out there, but it led the SEHK gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of weeks. Shareholders may appreciate the recent price jump, but the company still has a way to go before reaching its yearly highs again. As a mid-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Today we will analyse the most recent data on CALB Group’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.
Check out our latest analysis for CALB Group
According to our price multiple model, where we compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average, the stock currently looks expensive. We’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 58.49x is currently well-above the industry average of 7.29x, meaning that it is trading at a more expensive price relative to its peers. Another thing to keep in mind is that CALB Group’s share price is quite stable relative to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. This means that if you believe the current share price should move towards the levels of its industry peers over time, a low beta could suggest it is not likely to reach that level anytime soon, and once it’s there, it may be hard for it to fall back down into an attractive buying range again.
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. With profit expected to more than double over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for CALB Group. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in 3931’s positive outlook, with shares trading above industry price multiples. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe 3931 should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on 3931 for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for 3931, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
If you want to dive deeper into CALB Group, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Our analysis shows 2 warning signs for CALB Group (1 is a bit unpleasant!) and we strongly recommend you look at these before investing.
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