2 月 3 日，Bitfinex Alpha 最新报告显示，比特币市场正经历结构性转变。虽然 BTC 价格受特朗普关税政策影响跌破 10 万美元，但机构投资者持续增持显示市场韧性。MicroStrategy 以 11 亿美元增持 10,107 枚比特币，总持仓达 158,400 枚，并向 SEC 提交融资申请为未来增持做准备；日本上市公司 Metaplanet 完成 7.45 亿美元融资扩充比特币储备，以对冲日元贬值风险。2025 年 1 月 BTC 录得 10% 涨幅，近 65 天价格在 15% 区间内整理。
在宏观层面，比特币与传统市场关联度升高，与标普 500 的 30 天相关性达到 0.8，创 5 个月新高。美联储维持 4.25%-4.50% 利率不变，通胀仍高于 2% 目标，核心 PCE 同比维持在 2.8%。同时，Tether 正将其 1,400 亿美元 USDT 整合至比特币闪电网络，通过 Taproot Assets 技术提升网络支付效率，推动比特币从价值存储向支付网络转型。
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