【券商聚焦】交银国际:海外压力暂缓,港股迎修复期

金吾财讯
03 Feb

金吾财讯 | 交银国际表示,港股年初以来实现“V”型反弹,恒生科技指数领跑全球主要股指,主要受益于海外积极因素带来的估值修复。同时,中国央行行长潘功胜近日表示将大幅提高国家外汇储备在中国香港的资产配置比例,有望潜在提升港股流动性,提振了市场情绪。该行指,海外因素有望进一步改善,但空间有限,需关注基本面改善情况:特朗普不确定性落地可能带来情绪改善。随着特朗普政策逐渐进入落地验证期,该行认为进一步超预期的冲击可能有限,而部分政策落地后,不确定性消除还会带来情绪上的缓和。美联储上半年仍有望择机降息。流动性仍有宽松空间。但考虑到美国经济韧性,增长预期较强,且通胀上行风险较大,流动性改善的空间可能较为有限。基本面期待持续的政策支持。企业盈利修复和扩内需政策仍有进一步释放空间,积极关注政策端对于民生领域的倾斜,以及地产、消费等链条的改善,并观察物价运行的态势。

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