交银国际:港股迎修复期 降息主题首选领展房产基金(00823) 目标价47.70港元

智通财经
03 Feb

智通财经APP获悉,交银国际发布研报称,港股迎修复期,建议配置具备稳定现金流和高股息板块作为组合防御底仓,可关注能源、公用事业以及电信板块。降息主题首选为领展房产基金(00823),目标价47.7港元。 

该行表示,高弹性成长板块有望在流动性宽松和内需政策加码的双重驱动下率先受益,且兼具景气成长和产业趋势驱动。可逢低配置恒生科技指数,以及科技互联网、半导体主要细分领域。政策支持的消费方向也值得关注,包括家电、运动鞋服等可选消费品,以及新能源车板块将直接受益于内需刺激政策。

该行称,港股年初以来实现“V”型反弹,恒生科技指数领跑全球主要股指,主要受益于海外积极因素带来的估值修复。同时,央行行长潘功胜近日表示将大幅提高国家外汇储备在香港的资产配置比例,有望潜在提升港股流动性,提振了市场情绪。

随著特朗普政策逐渐进入落地验证期,该行认为进一步超预期的冲击可能有限,而部分政策落地后,不确定性消除还会带来情绪上的缓和。美联储上半年仍有望择机减息。流动性仍有宽松空间。但考虑到美国经济韧性,增长预期较强,且通胀上行风险较大,流动性改善的空间可能较为有限。

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