Let's talk about the popular VeriSign, Inc. (NASDAQ:VRSN). The company's shares led the NASDAQGS gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of weeks. The company is now trading at yearly-high levels following the recent surge in its share price. As a large-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at VeriSign’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.
View our latest analysis for VeriSign
According to our valuation model, VeriSign seems to be fairly priced at around 8.89% above our intrinsic value, which means if you buy VeriSign today, you’d be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth $200.66, then there isn’t really any room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. What's more, VeriSign’s share price may be more stable over time (relative to the market), as indicated by its low beta.
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. However, with a negative profit growth of -0.2% expected over the next couple of years, near-term growth certainly doesn’t appear to be a driver for a buy decision for VeriSign. This certainty tips the risk-return scale towards higher risk.
Are you a shareholder? Currently, VRSN appears to be trading around its fair value, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to reduce the risk in your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock beneficial for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on the stock, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on VRSN for a while, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. The price seems to be trading at fair value, which means there’s less benefit from mispricing. Furthermore, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven’t considered today, which can help gel your views on VRSN should the price fluctuate below its true value.
With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for VeriSign (1 is a bit concerning) you should be familiar with.
If you are no longer interested in VeriSign, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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