【中东局势生变，集运欧线远月合约再度涨停】金十期货特约光大期货点评：据英国金融时报报道，以色列总理内塔尼亚胡誓言要恢复哈以战争，为其迄今为止最明确的承诺，拒绝达成持久停火协议。受加沙第二阶段停火谈判推进不顺的影响，中东地缘冲突再度紧张化，市场对红海复航的预期降低，欧线远月合约盘中再度冲击涨停，且远月合约上涨同样带动了近月走高，主力04合约增仓上行，盘中涨幅超15%。从现货运价角度来看，目前wk8最新均价大柜2720美金，MSC大柜报价2940美金。节后复工复产带来的货量回升尚未开启，整体订舱需求偏弱，船公司有意下调报价揽货，现货报价继续承压。不过，在弱现实和强预期之间，市场资金更多看重后者对盘面的影响，短期价格或跟随消息面维持偏强表现，远月合约大概率强于近月合约。若在情绪回暖后，船公司配合挺价，或一定程度上夯实价格上涨的基础，形成期现共振反弹的局面。
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