Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) said in a note Thursday that it sees the recent selloff in Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) shares, triggered by concerns over competition from DeepSeek, as a buying opportunity, reiterating its stance that Nvidia remains its "Top Pick."
Analysts argue that while sentiment has deteriorated due to long-term uncertainties, "near term business continues to firm," with strong demand for both Hopper and Blackwell AI chips.
The investment bank acknowledges that DeepSeek has created "some headwinds around export controls and longer-term investment," but Morgan Stanley remains confident in Nvidia’s ability to navigate these challenges.
"Inference growth drivers seem clear," analysts noted, adding that the enthusiasm for application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) is expected to "swing back to Nvidia in 2H."
According to Morgan Stanley, investor concerns center around three key risks: the potential for further U.S. export restrictions, a shift in the financing environment for AI investments, and increasingly negative sentiment.
The bank’s analysts concede that "more restrictions are almost certainly coming" but argues that the U.S. cannot realistically control global AI software development.
The report also pushes back on speculation about Nvidia's shipments to Singapore, stating, "we are very confident that NVDA, and all of our coverage, has complied with the rules."
Despite these risks, Morgan Stanley maintains a bullish outlook, citing several reasons for optimism.
Demand for Hopper chips appears to be stabilizing, while Blackwell supply visibility is improving. The firm also sees strong indications that Nvidia’s data center customers remain committed to large-scale AI investments.
"Talking to our cloud contacts, we are hearing that none of this changes the plans of any of the major participants," analysts wrote.
As Nvidia prepares to report earnings later this month, Morgan Stanley expects "positive language to come back into the mix post quarter," reinforcing its view that the recent dip in Nvidia stock represents an attractive entry point.
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