There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. With that in mind, the ROCE of Alliance Aviation Services (ASX:AQZ) looks decent, right now, so lets see what the trend of returns can tell us.
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Alliance Aviation Services, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.12 = AU$105m ÷ (AU$999m - AU$144m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
Thus, Alliance Aviation Services has an ROCE of 12%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Airlines industry average of 8.9% it's much better.
See our latest analysis for Alliance Aviation Services
In the above chart we have measured Alliance Aviation Services' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Alliance Aviation Services for free.
The trend of ROCE doesn't stand out much, but returns on a whole are decent. The company has consistently earned 12% for the last five years, and the capital employed within the business has risen 248% in that time. Since 12% is a moderate ROCE though, it's good to see a business can continue to reinvest at these decent rates of return. Stable returns in this ballpark can be unexciting, but if they can be maintained over the long run, they often provide nice rewards to shareholders.
To sum it up, Alliance Aviation Services has simply been reinvesting capital steadily, at those decent rates of return. However, over the last five years, the stock has only delivered a 1.5% return to shareholders who held over that period. So because of the trends we're seeing, we'd recommend looking further into this stock to see if it has the makings of a multi-bagger.
Like most companies, Alliance Aviation Services does come with some risks, and we've found 2 warning signs that you should be aware of.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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