摩根大通Market Intelligence表示，若要美国股市继续上涨，周五晚些时候公布的美国非农就业数据需要恰到好处，既不过热，也不过冷。

　　由Andrew Tyler牵头的交易部门称，如果新增就业人数低于15万，股市将走低，而若超过23万，也会导致美联储加息预期升温，进而令股市承压。

　　他们表示，如果处于低端，“那么风险在于劳动力市场的降温速度快于预期，这将拖累支出”。他们预测，如果数据低至11万，将导致标普500指数下跌多达1.5%，因为这表明围绕全球贸易的担忧正在以比预期更快的速度渗透到美国经济中。

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