智通财经APP获悉,摩根大通发布研究报告称,预测中资火电股2024年业绩可能较市场普遍预期逊色2%至9%,主要受到潜在的减值损失、去年下半年使用时数较预期低及燃料成本下降的不确定性的影响,建议投资者在业绩公布后重新评估相关公司发展前景,届时将更能了解管理层对来年电价展望及整体资本开支计划。
摩通将所覆盖研究的中资电力股2024及2025财年盈利预测平均下调超过10%,并下调今年电价预测,相应将目标价下调2.4%至15.3%。其中,摩通将华润电力(00836)今明两年盈利下调9.2%及5.7%,目标价从21港元降至20.5港元,评级“增持”。
该行表示,将华能国际电力股份(00902)今明两年盈利预测下调超过20%,以反映电价较低的预测,目前估算其2024至2026年每年需作出超过20亿元人民币的减值拨备,目标价由5.9港元下调至5港元,给予“增持”评级。
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