摩根大通发布研究报告称,予长和(00001)今年6月的目标价为50港元,基于2024/25财年平均股息率5.3%。这与其他企业集团基本一致,但低于房地产公司,因为长和所处的业务(电信、港口、基础设施)本质上更具弹性。
据媒体报道称,巴拿马政府向美国让步,正考虑取消长和旗下香港和记港口集团在巴拿马运河的营运合约,但为免诉讼,巴拿马政府希望跟从正当程序,暂时未有决定。和记港口集团目前正营运巴拿马运河2个港口。
报告称,如果报道属实,长和可能会退出巴拿马港口业务,对长和的影响可能很小,因为巴拿马港口贡献2024年上半年少于1%的EBITDA。在长和港口业务(长和港口的15%
EBITDA),巴拿马占吞吐量的3.9%。至于长和的其他业务,该行也认为,紧张局势进一步升级的影响有限,因为长和主要关注欧洲(超过50%的EBITDA)以及对美国市场参与有限。
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