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　　中国铝业（02600）早盘上涨2.82%，现报5.11港元，成交额7095.52万港元。

　　近日，中国铝业披露2024年业绩预增公告，预计全年年实现归母净利120-130亿元，同比+79%-94%；扣非归母净利115-125亿元，同比+74%-89%；基本每股收益0.7-0.76元，同比+82%-97%。国盛证券认为，24Q4氧化铝价格大涨带动公司Q4业绩环比大幅提高，全年业绩或创成立以来新高。

　　美银证券指出，全球铝市场正经历深刻变化，供应趋紧，竞争加剧，铝价有望在2025年走高。该行仍看好铝价走势，预计2025年铝价有望达到3000美元/吨（1.36美元/磅）。从供需平衡来看，2024-2026年全球铝市场预计出现供应短缺，2025年缺口达60.8万吨，市场库存也将持续下降，这些因素都将为铝价上涨提供支撑。

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