智通财经APP获悉,手机产业链延续涨势,截至发稿,高伟电子(01415)涨5.71%,报27.75港元;舜宇光学(02382)涨4.91%,报75.9港元;瑞声科技(02018)涨2.83%,报45.4港元;比亚迪电子(00285)涨1%,报45.4港元。
消息面上,2月5日,市场分析机构Canalys发文称,2024年全球智能手机市场增长7%,达到12.2亿部,实现了在连续两年下滑后的反弹。苹果凭借新兴市场的增长以及北美和欧洲的稳定表现,成功抵消了其在中国大陆市场的挑战,连续第二年稳守市场榜首。值得一提的是,春节前,手机、平板、智能手表等购新补贴在全国实施,购买价格低于6000元的这三类产品,可享受15%的补贴。商务部数据显示,今年1月20日至2月1日,已有1470.4万名消费者申请了1886.7万件手机等数码产品购新补贴。
中信证券指出,消费电子补贴对产业链的影响既体现在缩短换机周期(量),也体现在促进产品高端化升级(价),有望拉动下游需求增长,带动换机周期缩短,预计国内手机出货量2025年达到3.1亿部至3.2亿部规模,看好国产安卓品牌公司以及弹性较大的安卓链芯片设计及光学公司。同时,也无需担忧“果链”公司的业绩确定性,苹果2025年的主要看点在于AI创新下的全球换机+新兴地区份额拓展逻辑,今年出货总量仍将保持稳定。
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