Omnicell, Inc. Just Beat EPS By 47%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Simply Wall St.
09 Feb

It's been a mediocre week for Omnicell, Inc. (NASDAQ:OMCL) shareholders, with the stock dropping 11% to US$40.16 in the week since its latest annual results. Revenues were US$1.1b, approximately in line with whatthe analysts expected, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) crushed expectations, coming in at US$0.27, an impressive 47% ahead of estimates. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Omnicell after the latest results.

See our latest analysis for Omnicell

NasdaqGS:OMCL Earnings and Revenue Growth February 9th 2025

After the latest results, the nine analysts covering Omnicell are now predicting revenues of US$1.14b in 2025. If met, this would reflect a modest 2.2% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to surge 130% to US$0.62. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$1.16b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.56 in 2025. There was no real change to the revenue estimates, but the analysts do seem more bullish on earnings, given the substantial gain in earnings per share expectations following these results.

There's been no major changes to the consensus price target of US$53.86, suggesting that the improved earnings per share outlook is not enough to have a long-term positive impact on the stock's valuation. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. The most optimistic Omnicell analyst has a price target of US$69.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$40.00. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Omnicell's past performance and to peers in the same industry. We would highlight that Omnicell's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 2.2% annualised growth rate until the end of 2025 being well below the historical 5.3% p.a. growth over the last five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 7.8% annually. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Omnicell is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.

The Bottom Line

The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Omnicell's earnings potential next year. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at US$53.86, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Omnicell going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

Before you take the next step you should know about the 2 warning signs for Omnicell that we have uncovered.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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